Tags: Medicaid Cuts, Undocumented Immigrants, Republican Health Care Policy, ACA Expansion, Trump Budget Bill, One Big Beautiful Bill, Health Insurance Penalties, Federal Funding Reduction, Immigrant Health Coverage, State Budget Crisis
A new Republican-led bill, titled the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” is advancing through Congress and could significantly reshape health care funding by punishing states that provide insurance to undocumented immigrants, most of which are Democratic-led. The legislation would result in massive federal Medicaid cuts and is already raising concerns among state leaders, health advocates, and policy analysts across the nation.
Medicaid Cuts Target Immigrant-Friendly States
The bill, which recently passed the U.S. House of Representatives, would cut billions of dollars in federal Medicaid reimbursements to 15 states and Washington, D.C., unless they eliminate health coverage for immigrants without legal status. Most affected states currently use state funds to cover low-income undocumented residents, particularly children.
If enacted, the law would reduce the federal match for Medicaid expansion from 90% to 80% in states offering such benefits, placing a severe financial burden on programs serving low-income populations.
California, New York Among the Biggest Losers
According to KFF, California could lose up to $3 billion annually, while New York could face $1.6 billion in federal funding cuts. California State Senator Scott Wiener said the bill is already disrupting the state’s budget planning, as lawmakers face a June 15 deadline. Governor Gavin Newsom warned the bill would devastate health care in California, potentially causing coverage loss, hospital closures, and a strained safety net.
Newsom’s May budget proposal already suggests cutting some benefits for undocumented immigrants due to rising costs, and he questioned whether Congress has the authority to penalize states for how they spend their own funds — signaling a possible legal challenge.
Trigger Laws Threaten Medicaid Expansions in Utah and Illinois
The bill’s impact is especially serious for Utah and Illinois, where “trigger laws” would automatically terminate Medicaid expansion if federal funding decreases. Utah’s Medicaid program, launched in 2020, currently covers about 75,000 low-income adults and provides state-funded health insurance to 2,000 undocumented children.
Utah state Rep. Jim Dunnigan expressed concern over the potential funding cut but did not say whether the state should stop covering immigrants. Health advocates in the state described the situation as a “political prisoner’s dilemma” with no easy solution.
In Illinois, nearly 770,000 adults could lose Medicaid coverage if the expansion is terminated. Advocates believe the state may repeal its trigger law or explore local funding alternatives, such as county-level support for immigrant health care.
Critics Say Bill Is Politically Motivated and Anti-Immigrant
Critics argue that the bill is a deliberate attempt to penalize Democratic states and reflects Republicans’ broader hostility toward immigrants. Stephanie Altman from the Shriver Center on Poverty Law called the bill a direct attack on immigrant health care and public coverage.
House Speaker Mike Johnson defended the bill, claiming that offering public benefits to undocumented immigrants acts as an “open doormat” and encourages illegal immigration. He cited polling support for ending such programs.
National Impact: Millions Could Lose Coverage
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill could result in 8.6 million more uninsured Americans by 2034, rising to nearly 14 million after the Trump administration implements expected Affordable Care Act regulation changes and allows enhanced premium subsidies to expire.
The legislation also includes other cost-cutting measures such as:
- Work requirements for Medicaid recipients
- Biannual recertification for Medicaid eligibility
- A freeze on state Medicaid funding strategies, like taxing hospitals and health providers
These changes would shift more of the Medicaid burden to states already facing financial pressure and could destabilize Medicaid expansion efforts across the country.
States on the Frontline
Besides California, New York, Utah, and Illinois, the states that provide coverage to undocumented immigrants using state funds include Colorado, Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Washington.
Conservative groups argue that federal resources indirectly support immigrant enrollment systems, even if federal dollars are not directly used for unauthorized individuals’ care. Still, the policy has sparked significant backlash as states must now choose between cutting coverage or losing essential funding for their broader Medicaid programs.
As the Senate takes up the bill next, health care access for millions of low-income and immigrant residents may hang in the balance.
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